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今天和LJY去西门鸡翅的时候突然聊起来的东西,想起了很多,随手记下来,等有空了慢慢补。
中国的发展是个奇怪的现象,由官僚资本主导的改革开放和由外资主导的经济增长维持了将近30年,尚不知道什么时候能够结束。同时在这样的环境下,私有经济仍然蓬勃发展,而且获得了官僚资本支持,逐渐往主体方向发展,大有平稳过渡的意思。
随着人民币对美元汇率的稳步走高,国内市场的廉价劳工问题也有零星的曝光,那么对经济增长起主导作用的外资还能进一步投入多久?会不会往劳动力更便宜政策更开放的中亚、越南等地区迁移?
现阶段股市的势头一片大好,甚至以前从来没有接触过股市的人们也将大量的资金投入。一旦有了新的资金投入,是否就可以说会有虚假繁荣的出现。这让我想起了本世纪初的高歌猛进和1500点时候的悲观论调。那么,现在影响股市上涨的股权问题解决得有多彻底?公司的业绩是否能够支持起当前期望或者说这样的蓬齐过程能够维持多久?
还没想清楚的问题,先留到这里。
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