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今天偶然看看报纸,又心潮澎湃起来。科技改变生活啊。那梦想是什么?我的梦想又是什么?
当科技已经深入到了人们生活的方方面面,而机械啊之类的东西早已经普及,我们又需要什么?
我认为答案是,我们不需要什么,因为,一切都已经智能化了。
当你的电脑里面安装的操作系统是智能化的时候,不用打补丁,不用升级软件,操作系统会帮你做。这远不是智能,MS就可以实现。我说的智能是什么呢?当你用电脑工作的时候,他会明白你的意图,当你撰写电子邮件的时候,他知道应该用比较formal的模板还是joke的,这一切不需要你的提点。他知道当弟弟妹妹用你的电脑的时候,把那些不适合他们的东西隐藏得好好的,这也不需要你的设置。只需要你享受他,他就是一个全能的仆人。
未来的智能远远不是操作系统。家电的智能更重要。在你进屋的时候把电视开到你喜欢的频道,这不是智能,现在的家电巨头们都能做到。智能的是,在播放到某个片断的时候,他知道你喜欢看什么,然后给一个特写,或者收藏起来。冰箱会自动预购牛奶,你最喜欢的那种,这不是什么新鲜事情。但是冰箱不只预购牛奶,他会变换口味,今天给你果汁,明天给你汽水,都很和你的口味不是么。
机器做饭烧菜,多新鲜啊。不,智能的机器会自己安排。当然,不是按照你的指令,而是按照你的意思。
和这样的家电生活到一起,感觉是和很多很多人生活在一起,或许刚开始不会这么惬意,但是随着磨合,他们会越来越懂你的意思。
谈了这么多,怎么没有谈到机器人?或许会有形形色色的机器人,但是,在一个智能化的社会里面,还需要机器人干什么?只是一个玩伴罢了。
这些听起来是硬科幻,还是比较老套的那种。但是却是我们在一步步的做的事情。以智能电脑为中心的,多智能体协作的环境。实现这些需要:
更先进的人机交互
更全面的专家系统
更出色的判断力
…………
这些什么时候能实现呢?我说不清楚,没人能说不清楚,或许我能称其为二十年后的技术,或许未来和我说的大有不同,但是我们的目标总是相同的,让生活更加简单啊。
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